That's no longer an open question. It first occurred to me in 1992 when I retired after a long career as a journalist and later as a marketing consultant for companies like Waring, Toshiba, Baker Industries, Cessna, AT&T and others.
That's when I first took a look at the astonishing number of abortions in the United States – some 30 million by then. I realized that was equal to the population of the 32 largest cities in the U.S. – from New York all the way down to cities the size of Austin, Texas.
Based on this preliminary analysis, I predicted an economic crisis starting in the year 2000 and continuing until 2020. Not only did my predictions come true on schedule, but our latest research shows that the impact is far deeper than even I realized back then.
My current forecast is that, unless America comes to its senses about abortion and birth control within the next few years, it will be all over for the United States as the beacon of freedom and economic prosperity for the world. That could easily happen by 2020 to 2025 if things don't change.
Why is the outlook getting worse? For one thing, the economic impact of the abortion boom is deepening, not abating. Today, we have had a cumulative 57.7 million abortions, nearly double the 30 million we had in 1992.
And the number of cities with an equivalent population has soared to include our 86 largest cities. Within 4 years, that number will reach 100.
It's as if we had a nuclear war with a 100% casualty rate in all our major cities with populations of 200,000 or more. You would have to call that near total destruction!
However, that's just the tip of the iceberg. To calculate the full demographic effect, you also have to include the “echo effect” from those abortions – the babies who would have been born to those aborted more than 25 years earlier.
That adds 25 million more to the total number of missing people.
But it doesn't end there. Economics doesn't give a hoot whether a person is missing because of abortion or because of birth control, so you have to include the effect of more efficient birth control in your estimate of the economic impact. Both create an empty hole in our economy.
To estimate this, I used a very conservative approach based on surveys indicating that 64% of married people regularly use some form of birth control, and that it was at least 50% effective. Instead of having three or four children, couples using birth control might have just one or two.
Add the number of those missing since 1967 because of more efficient birth control – together with the echo effect of those missing births – and that adds another 124 million to the missing, bringing the overall total to an astonishing 207 million people.
That's 65% of our current total population of 318 million.
In other words, if all those missing kids were still around, the total output our economy would be 65% bigger today than it currently is. More like $28 trillion Instead of the $17 trillion dollar economy we have, with substantially greater tax and other revenues to meet our obligations.
So how do you figure the total loss involved for our economy over the past 47 years?
The best and most conservative measure is Gross Domestic Product (GDP) per capita – which averages everything no matter how old or young you are. That also changes with growth in the economy. What was $3973 per capita in 1967 is $55,000 per capita today.
Showing those accumulating costs over the years is a good indication of the incredible drag on the economy that we are experiencing today.
Just as you can't bring back those aborted babies, you'll never get back what they would have produced on average over the years. It's like an airplane trying to take off with one engine in reverse, or trying to win a drag race with one foot on the brakes.
If you put a dollar value on our cumulative GDP loss from abortion alone, today it would amount to $58.2 trillion – including both abortion and its echo effect.
If you did the same thing for lives missing because of more efficient birth control, that number would be even higher – $85.2 Trillion in lost GDP.
Add them together, and our lost GDP – economic value never realized because of our “war against the unborn” – comes to a staggering $147.5 Trillion.
That's like having our entire economy shut down for over 8 years.
But the most tragic thing about it is that most of the impact will be visited on our current younger generation under age 47. . . .
The above report should really go down as the story of the century, but the politically correct self-censorship of the American mass media has prevented it from being widely noted. Only a few courageous folks are willing to admit that America's own aggressive anti-population policies over the last 47 years have anything to do with the reality of America's current economic malaise. Yet economies equal nothing more than people x (money + resources). Change the people part of that equation and you change the whole outcome. And that fact is at the root of America's current serious economic decline. Only a profound change in the attitude of today's young adults toward marriage, parenthood and family life can save us. The media and the politicians certainly won't do it.
Seminars for Life!
Far and away the best way to turn the tide of our anti-life culture is by reaching out to today's young people before they enter the abortion industry's marketing pipeline. Our Celebrate Life seminars for teens demonstrate that young people are hungry for the truth that will set them free. We regularly see a 75% increase in strongly pro-life teens, a 40% decrease among confused kids in the middle, and a 15% reduction among teens who are pro-choice. But to do this, we urgently need your help. Your gift makes you a vital member of our Celebrate Life seminar team.
The Coming Revolt of
No other generation in history has been dismissed as anonymously as Generation X, Y and Z. Nor has any generation before them ever experienced the abortion of 30% of their members. Even in World War II, only 1.8% of the 16 million men and women failed to come back because they were killed in action. Meanwhile, this generation has inherited an economy that is on the verge of implosion as a result of profligate government spending and failed government policies.
That's why we feel it is time for America's younger generation to begin demanding to know "Why!"
Bishop Arthur Seratelli of Paterson recently asked a very important question: "Why do we face the sad loss of so many of our young people from the practice of the faith?"
He cited Pew studies showing that one-third of all adults under 30 are no longer connected with any church. Indeed, four out of five abandon the practice of their faith by the time they leave high school and move on to college.
These are stunning statistics. But what exactly has caused this crisis of faith among the young? And what can we do to change it?
High on my list of causes would be the 57.7 million young lives lost to abortion since 1967. They represent an unprecedented 30% loss in the under-47 generation with huge implications for their social, economic and spiritual well-being. Fully 88% of those abortions occur to young women age 15 to 35 with the highest abortion ratios among pregnant teens.
So why should we be surprised that this same group is suffering a huge loss of faith?
Abortion has certainly diminished young people's hopes for the future. Roe v. Wade killed off the youth market that had driven our economy since World War II. If not for abortion, today's youth market would be 43% bigger than it is today. Indeed, the whole U.S. economy would be at least 20% larger.
Abortion has also divided America dramatically. Fully 90% of abortions occur in just half the states. Six states account for 54%. The other 25 states account for just 10%.
How can faith survive in a land that is so sharply divided?
By Dennis Howard This August, it was more than years since Martin Luther King Jr. came to Washington to deliver his magnificent "I Have a Dream" speech. In it, he celebrated the Emancipation Proclamation of 100 years earlier as "a great beacon of hope to millions of Negro slaves who had been seared in the flames of withering injustice." He also hailed an earlier time "when the architects of our republic wrote the magnificent words of the Constitution and the Declaration of Independence." He reminded us: "They were signing a Promissory Note to which every American was to fall heir. This note was a promise that all men would be guaranteed the unalienable rights of life, liberty, and the pursuit of happiness." He asked whether America had defaulted on that note, and concluded that "instead of honoring this sacred obligation, America has given the Negro people a bad check, a check that has come back marked insufficient funds." Now, half a century later, we have to ask that question again.
Dennis Howard is founder and president of The Movement for a Better America, a non-profit, pro-life educational organization. Before starting MBA in 1995, he had a long and successful career in journalism and creative marketing. He helped launch more than 20 magazines and newspapers, and participated in major campaigns for companies like Waring, Cessna, Toshiba, Matchbox, AT&T and others. He is available as a strategic marketing consultant to other pro-life organizations, and is currently writing a book on Pro-Life Strategies for the 21st Century. To invite Dennis as a speaker, contact him at Movement for a Better America, PO Box 472, Mt. Freedom, NJ 07970-0472